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Never forget!
I ran for Idaho state senate in 2008--didn't win
I've written a number of history books, as well as scholarly and popular articles, (see my web page).
Sorry, high pressure isn't included.
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Other blogs you may enjoy:
My civilian gun defense use blog
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Pete Drum's Web Page
Gun Laws Don't Work
instapundit.com
Dissecting Leftism -- By John Ray
A courageous Briton arguing for relaxing Britain's gun control laws
Right Thoughts
Final Protective Fire
Amitai Etzioni's Blog
Scrappleface -- Dangerously Clever Satire
Michael Williams -- Master of None
Another Conservative Blogger
A Group Blog By Iraqis
THE MESOPOTAMIAN: TO BRING ONE MORE IRAQI VOICE OF THE SILENT MAJORITY TO THE ATTENTION OF THE WORLD
Specializing in discussions of discrimination and affirmative action
An Iraqi dentist
Promoting children being raised by their own parents
A federal law clerk opines about the law
Michelle Malkin's blog
Impearls: a blog as electic and interesting as mine
Proving that the United States military does more than kill people and break things.
May not agree with this group on everything, but stopping the ACLU is high on my list
A conservative/moderate black blogger.
Another sensible American
Sex, Crime, and Corruption in the Democratic Party
Music, Politics, Motorcycles
Maggie's Farm: Freedom from nags, cranks, government, do-gooders, control-freaks and idiots is all that we ask for.
A blog dedicated to "Documenting Saddam Hussein's support of Terrorism"
The blog of one of my fellow bloggers on the Civilian Gun Self-Defense Blog
J. Norman Heath's Blog--a circus rigger and Second Amendment scholar (really!)
Buckeye Firearms Association, for you Ohio gun owners and activists
Click here for a FREE NEWSLETTER on Ohio Gun Rights from Buckeye Firearms Association!
Another conservative.
Neocon Blues
Conservative Oasis
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Bubbleheads is a retired submariner
An Idaho State University student. A Democrat. Someday, she'll start paying income taxes and change.
A retired Las Vegas stagehand, of all things.
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NAACP Official Takes the High Road
I am so glad to see this guy taking the right position, and calling this tragedy what it is--a failure of the black community to deal with a moral failure that is entirely within its power to fix:CLEVELAND -- The Cleveland NAACP responded Friday to criticism surrounding the shooting death of a teenage boy during a robbery.
I remember some years ago the NAACP (I think) ran a commercial very briefly that showed a Klan rally somewhere, and then showed the number of black people that various hate groups had killed in the previous year--and then a stereotypical black gang member, and the number of black people that this bunch had killed in the previous year. It was like 10 to 10,000. There was a storm of protest--but the point was made: too much focus on white supremacists, not enough on the criminals who are destroying the black community.
NAACP President George Forbes and Cleveland Councilman Zach Reed said the black community failed 15-year-old Arthur Buford, NewsChannel5 reported.
They said Buford was wrong for allegedly trying to rob Damon Wells at gunpoint on Saturday.
Wells opened fire and killed Buford at East 134th Street and Kinsman. Police said Wells had a valid weapons permit and used the gun in self-defense.
"Then you have a 26-year-old young man who had every right to protect his life, protect his fiance and protect his property. But he has to life with the fact that for the rest of his lie he shot a 15-year-old boy," said Reed.
"That man had a right to do what he did. If he didn't do it, we'd be sitting here today mourning him rather than the 15-year-old," said Forbes.
They pointed out that homicide is the leading cause of death for black men 15 to 24.
Forbes said that if we saw those kind of numbers for an illness, the community would be outraged.
He said the community should also treat this as an epidemic.
Point-Prevalence Bias
I was looking for current data on homelessness and mental illness, since it has been known since at least the 1980s that many homeless people are mentally ill--and this is likely a causal factor in their homelessness. While hunting, I found this article about something called "point-prevalence bias" in homelessness statistics. What in the heck is that?
If you measure the number and characteristics of the homeless at a particular point in time (say, the night of December 15), you will get everyone that was homeless that night. People that are chronically homeless--the person who has been homeless for several years--will be overrepresented compared to those who are homeless for only a few weeks. This is "point-prevalence bias."
If you are having some trouble understanding why this is bias, so am I. Yes, it means that the chronically homeless will be given more weight in the final results than measuring what they call "lifetime" homelessness--how many and what sorts of people have ever been homeless. In reading the paper, I smell something that sounds rather like, "We're having trouble getting enough sympathy for homeless people because the surveys show that more than half have histories of jail or prison and a big fraction of the rest have been in psychiatric hospitals, so let's emphasize the people who are short-term homeless, even though this is at any given time, a small fraction of the homeless population." It also looks like they are trying to create a huge population of people who have ever been homeless, even if only for a few days. It smells rather like Mitch Snyder's opt-repeated by journalists, "three and half million homeless--and growing" claim of the 1980s.
By the way, I was surprised at the large percentage of this "point" studies that show jail or prison lockup. I learned something very interesting about this from talking to my daughter, who is working on finding housing for homeless families who are at the Booth Family Shelter. Here in Boise, the vast majority of landlords--even landlords who are cooperating on helping find permanent housing for these homeless families--will not rent to people with felony convictions in the last ten years, or were evicted and owe lots of back rent.
I could understand the felony convictions stigma. While not every felony is something horrifying, trying to distinguish murder/robbery/kidnapping from turning back a car odometer/passing bad checks might be a bit of a struggle, and landlords don't want trouble.
The evictions and back rent stigma, however, surprised me. My daughter tells me that some people owe many months of back rent from evictions. This tells me that there are landlords in this area who are not heartless. It appears that Idaho is one of those states where five days after you fail to pay the rent, the landlord can evict you. So if you owe many months of back rent, it means that your previous landlord must have accepted excuses for not getting rent paid far beyond what the law requires.
It's Nice To Break The Wires
You've probably seen the commercial for wireless notebooks with the marionette who finally gets to break the wires. That's how I feel! I'm out on the bad patio, as the sun sets, looking down on Horseshoe Bend's lights, while working on the next book. I just returned from a jaunt up Highway 55 towards Banks, with the top off the Corvette, enjoying the warm wind and the smell of the pine forest. Life is good!
UPDATE: But once the sun was down, it started to get cold, and then the coyotes started to howl, so in I went!
Mental Illness and Violence
I was looking for information on the extent of mental illness among prison inmates, and I found this review of the literature in the journal Psychiatric Services. It reports that "6 to 15 percent of persons in city and county jails and 10 to 15 percent of persons in state prisons have severe mental illness." This is consistent with the recent work by Bernard Harcourt that I have mentioned previously showing that there is a strong negative correlation between institutionalization rates (mental hospitals plus prisons) and homicide rates.
As the grand experiment of deinstitutionalization took place, murder rates rose. As the percentage of the population in prison rose, murder rates fell. This was even true when Professor Harcourt repeated the study using state level data. While there were a few oddball states such as Florida where the institutionalization rate seems to have no connection to murder rates, this is the exception. Almost every state had a statistically significant negative correlation, and no state had a statistically significant positive correlation.
It doesn't take a genius to see that prison is a bad substitute for mental health treatment. Some mental illnesses can be treated. Some illnesses can be brought under control (such as bipolar disorder); some can be treated at least for the symptoms (such as schizophrenia). I doubt that mental hospitals are cheaper per year per patient than prisons, but if you can treat a patient to the point where he isn't a danger to others or himself, this seems preferable to throwing a patient into a prison instead--and might, if we can figure out a way to supervise the patient's medications upon release, save some money.
Anyway, while digging around, I found a number of interesting papers about the question of violent crimes and the mentally ill. If you read most newspapers, almost any time that an article discusses mental illness, the reporter will insert a comment to the effect that the mentally ill are no more violent than anyone else. Why do they always insert this? Because this is now conventional wisdom, and like most conventional wisdom that reporters feel the need to insert in their articles, it appears to be incorrect.
This 1976 article the American Journal of Psychiatry studied patients released from Bellevue's psychiatric division in New York City, and found that they were more likely to be arrested for rape, aggravated assault, and burglary than the general population of the "catchment area" for Bellevue. They were less likely to be arrested for murder and robbery, although not much less. This study seems a bit deficient in statistical significance information. This was contrary to a number of earlier studies that found murder and robbery rates higher among released mental patients.
This 1978 study examined San Mateo County mental patients, and found that they nine times more likely to be arrested for violent crimes than the general population of the county--and for some crimes, like murder, as much as 55 times as likely to be arrested. Now, it is possible that mentally ill people come to the attention of police, and are more likely to be arrested for that reason, but 55 times as likely? I think Harcourt's negative correlation is beginning to look correct.
There are some significant differences based on age. Not surprisingly, the mentally ill in their 50s and 60s are not terribly likely to be arrested for violent crimes--much as is true in the general population. Not all forms of mental illness seem equivalently likely to produce violent behavior. But it does appear that much of the traditional view of the mentally ill--as having a higher potential danger to public safety--has some basis in fact.
You may be wondering why that 1976 study in New York City found murder and aggravated assault rates among mentally ill comparable to the rest of the population. At the risk of being quoted out of context by a gun control advocate: there is a possibility that New York City's strict gun control laws make it sufficiently difficult for mentally ill persons released from the hospital to get hold of a gun, reducing their murder rates relative to, for example, the San Mateo County population in that 1978 paper. Aggravated assault charges usually involve a weapon--and I suppose that the inability to get hold of a gun might explain why that rate was about the same as the general population in New York City. I find this a plausible explanation because one of the arguments for why New York City had to pass its 1967 Gun Control Law was that "crazy people" (as some New York politician I saw once explain it) were buying guns and going immediately into the streets and shooting people.
Still, this suggests that gun control laws make all of New York rather like a mental hospital--one that limits access to deadly weapons. It might have more sense to have asked why mentally ill people were being released to the streets to live on steam grates.
Houston in September
One of the colleges in the area is organizing having me come to debate the meaning of the Second Amendment with a prominent law professor on the other side. (I'm not identifying him yet until we get everything finalized.) When we get the details finalized, I'll be trying to organize other events in the area as well.
Carbon Indulgence Fraud
At least when Pope Leo X was selling papal indulgences, we got St. Peter's Basilica out of it (along with paying the bribery debts of the Archbishop of Mainz). This article from the April 25, 2007 Financial Times is unsurprising:Companies and individuals rushing to go green have been spending millions on “carbon credit” projects that yield few if any environmental benefits.
A Financial Times investigation has uncovered widespread failings in the new markets for greenhouse gases, suggesting some organisations are paying for emissions reductions that do not take place.
Others are meanwhile making big profits from carbon trading for very small expenditure and in some cases for clean-ups that they would have made anyway.
The growing political salience of environmental politics has sparked a “green gold rush”, which has seen a dramatic expansion in the number of businesses offering both companies and individuals the chance to go “carbon neutral”, offsetting their own energy use by buying carbon credits that cancel out their contribution to global warming.
The burgeoning regulated market for carbon credits is expected to more than double in size to about $68.2bn by 2010, with the unregulated voluntary sector rising to $4bn in the same period.
The FT investigation found:
? Widespread instances of people and organisations buying worthless credits that do not yield any reductions in carbon emissions.
? Industrial companies profiting from doing very little – or from gaining carbon credits on the basis of efficiency gains from which they have already benefited substantially.
? Brokers providing services of questionable or no value.
? A shortage of verification, making it difficult for buyers to assess the true value of carbon credits.
? Companies and individuals being charged over the odds for the private purchase of European Union carbon permits that have plummeted in value because they do not result in emissions cuts.
Francis Sullivan, environment adviser at HSBC, the UK’s biggest bank that went carbon-neutral in 2005, said he found “serious credibility concerns” in the offsetting market after evaluating it for several months.
“The police, the fraud squad and trading standards need to be looking into this. Otherwise people will lose faith in it,” he said.
In Spite of the Virginia Tech Massacre? Or Because of It?
The Kansas legislature overrode Governor Sibelius's veto:TOPEKA - Gov. Kathleen Sebelius' veto of a bill preventing local governments from imposing additional restrictions on Kansans carrying concealed guns was overridden Friday by the Legislature, allowing it to become law.
In a society that doesn't lock up dangerously mentally ill people until they have killed someone, and where Congresscritters are talking about the dangers of terrorists obtaining guns, the last thing we need is more victim-disarmament zones.
It's the second veto of the Democratic governor to be overridden by the Republican-controlled Legislature. Last year, lawmakers overrode her veto of the bill creating the concealed gun law.
The override was completed when the Senate voted 30-10 -- three more than the necessary two-thirds majority. On Thursday, the House overrode the veto on a 98-26 vote.
The governor's office had no immediate comment.
The bill was a reaction to efforts by some cities, especially in Johnson County, to impose their own requirements.
Supporters say the state should set the requirements for concealed guns so they will be uniform statewide, avoiding the possibility of someone unknowingly violating some local concealed gun ordinance that goes beyond state law.
Here's a Bill That Is Too Dangerous
I agree that there is some real danger of terrorists buying guns, and if I had confidence in the integrity and intelligence of the Justice Department, I wouldn't object. But this administration hasn't shown that its Justice Department can be trusted to do its job, and I sure wouldn't trust President Clinton's Justice Department to show integrity or intelligence:WASHINGTON -- The Justice Department and a Northeastern Democrat have formed a rare alliance intended to restrict gun sales to terror suspects.
I would like to think that Homeland Security has enough agents to keep an eye on terror suspects who are buying guns. If not, either there are too many suspects on the list, or we are in a lot deeper trouble than anyone is letting on.
The bill, introduced late Thursday by Sen. Frank Lautenberg, D-N.J., after two years of study produced an endorsement by the Justice Department, would give the attorney general power to block gun sales to persons on terrorism watch lists. In some instances, the attorney general could let a sale go through - for example, when stopping the sale would hinder a terrorism investigation.
The measure also includes ways for would-be buyers to appeal a denial by the attorney general.
"The administration finally realized that letting terrorists buy guns is dangerous," Lautenberg said. "This 'terror' gap in our gun laws has been open too long."
The Justice Department, which endorsed the idea in letters this week to congressional leaders, said the delay was necessary in part to study potential situations in which barring a gun buy could interfere with investigations and intelligence collection.
I will be curious if Teddy Kennedy, who was upset about being on a "no-fly" list several years ago, would be upset about the government setting up a "no-guns" list without any due process requirements. Do you suppose the ACLU would fight such a measure?
Dangers of Credentialism
I've long been hostile to the irrational focus on a degree when deciding whether someone is qualified for a job. I had this attitude when I was an undegreed software engineer, and I am not any more sympathetic to credentialism now that I have earned a BA and an MA.
Requiring certain degrees is a cheap and easy way to reduce the size of the pile of resumes that someone has to carefully read, to decide who gets brought in for an interview. I suspect that, on average, those applicants with a degree are more qualified than those without, but my experience over the years tells me that the difference in qualification, at least in engineering disciplines, is not huge. I know a few millionaire engineers who did not finish college, and a few who are far wealthier who never attended college at all.
This sad story, on the one hand, is about an integrity problem:Marilee Jones, the dean of admissions at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, became well known for urging stressed-out students competing for elite colleges to calm down and stop trying to be perfect. Yesterday she admitted that she had fabricated her own educational credentials, and resigned after nearly three decades at M.I.T. Officials of the institute said she did not have even an undergraduate degree.
On the other hand, I find myself wondering: if having a degree--and one presumes, a graduate degree, if she ended up with the title of "dean"--is so fundamentally necessary to her job, how is that no one ever noticed her inability until now?
“I misrepresented my academic degrees when I first applied to M.I.T. 28 years ago and did not have the courage to correct my résumé when I applied for my current job or at any time since,” Ms. Jones said in a statement posted on the institute’s Web site. “I am deeply sorry for this and for disappointing so many in the M.I.T. community and beyond who supported me, believed in me, and who have given me extraordinary opportunities.”
Call me unimpressed with credentialism.
A Description of the Disappearing Glaciers
I was reading a travel account of the Rhone glacier in the Alps:The rocks are grooved and scarred away up hundreds of feet above the ice, showing that the glacier was once many times its present size. It is slowly melting away--dying, the scientists say. It may not last more than five or six thousand years longer, so if you want to see it you'll have to hurry.
Okay, evidence of global warming? Well, perhaps, but this account predates the enormous increase in man's production of carbon dioxide. It is from Leander A. Bigger, Around the World: An Illustrated Trip for Education and Pleasure (New York: Lyceum Travel Bureau, 1916), 3:99, describing a round the world trip of 1904-05.
HR 297
This is McCarthy and Dingell's bill concerning improving state reporting of information that might disqualify someone from purchasing a gun because of misdemeanor domestic violence or mental illness problems. Gun Owners of America is sending around an email warning that this is a horrible, dangerous bill:HR 297 would require the states to turn over mountains of personal
As I said on a radio broadcast this morning, I support the concept of improving state reporting of disqualifying mental illness problems, but the devil is in the details. So I have been reading over HR 297, and I am having trouble finding where "this bill would allow the FBI to obtain massive amounts of information" about individuals. The bill doesn't even require states to provide information--it only sets standards for how much money the state can receive for improving its reporting to the National Instant Criminal Background Check System based on its level of data that it reports.
data (on people like you) to the FBI -- any information which according to the Attorney General, in his or her unilateral discretion, would be useful in ascertaining who is or is not a "prohibited person."
Liberal support for this bill points out an interesting hypocrisy in their loyalties: For six years, congressional Democrats have complained about the Bush administration's efforts to obtain personal information on suspected terrorists WITHOUT A COURT ORDER.
And yet, this bill would allow the FBI to obtain massive amounts of information -- information which dwarfs any records obtained from warrantless searches (or wiretaps) that have been conducted by the Bush Administration on known or suspected terrorists operating in the country.
In fact, HR 297 would allow the FBI to get this information on honest Americans (like you) even though the required data is much more private and personal than any information obtained thus far by the Bush administration on terrorists.
Now, there might be something that I am missing hidden in the current regulations, but "State records of persons adjudicated mentally defective or committed to a mental institution" and reporting of misdemeanor domestic violence convictions doesn't immediately seem to be a fishing expedition.
UPDATE: A reader who is concerned about this bill points out that the bill requires states that are receiving federal funds to improve their ability to feed firearms disability information to the NICBCS to provide records. If you don't want to provide those records, you won't get any money to improve your systems for feeding NICBCS. And why is this is a problem? If you don't want to provide data to NICBCS, then you don't need federal funding to improve your ability to feed data to NICBCS.
The other objection is that one provision requires states to provide information that would allow determination of whether an alien is legally present in the country. Supposedly, this is a truck sized hole--one that allows the FBI to request vast quantities of information:Bank records, marriage license, birth certificate, property tax records, credit card records... every single one of them could in some way be used to determine whether someone is an illegal alien or not, right?
Well, no. Birth certificate is about the only item that might be useful for determining whether someone is a citizen--and if they have a U.S. birth certificate, that makes them by law a citizen (with a few very weird exceptions involving diplomatic personnel). The rest of this stuff? I wish that it was different, but illegal aliens have credit card, bank accounts, pay property taxes, and marriage licenses.
True, there are abuse potentials with information gathering, but I am hard pressed to see that this bill opens any more doors on this than the PATRIOT Act has already opened. Net effect on the powers of the snooping federal government: zero.
Mark Twain's Remark About The School Board Needs Updating
You may have heard it--something along the lines of "Before God made the idiot, he made the school board for practice." It needs updating to refer to Oklahoma University. Do you remember the student who blew himself up outside the stadium? The one who had become a Muslim, but of course, that and strapping a bomb to his chest right outside a crowded stadium--no, that can't be a terrorist attack? Well, the university decided to remember him:NORMAN, Okla. -- The University of Oklahoma has put up a memorial to a student who died when a homemade bomb exploded near the OU football stadium.
Accidental suicide? What is that? A suicide is intentional; it's not an accident. If there was anything "accidental" about his death, it was probably premature detonation. He deserves nothing but our sorrow that his mental problems led him into the death cult variant of Islam.
A stone with the name of Joel Hinrichs III was placed outside the OU student union by the student affairs division.
Hinrichs died Oct. 1, 2005, when the bomb he built detonated as he sat on a campus bench near Memorial Stadium while a football game was under way. University officials ruled the death an accidental suicide.
Thanks to Michelle Malkin for the pointer.
Institutionalization Records
I was watching one of the news programs last night, and they were mentioning that Senator Schumer (not a friend of gun owners) and the NRA have made common cause on a bill to deal with the loophole that allowed Cho Seung-Hui to pass the national firearms background check. I guess this is progress; instead of focusing on the gun (trying to ban semiautos, or high capacity magazines), they are focusing on the person holding the gun.
The reporter reading the story sounded a little incredulous that the NRA would support such a change, but really, this is not a surprise. The NRA's opposition to various background checks has never been with the concept, but with the implementation details. A background check was not a big problem for the NRA when the Brady Bill passed; it was the waiting period.
From a constitutional standpoint, a background check that excludes felons, the mentally ill, minors, former U.S. citizens, and illegal aliens are all perfectly acceptable, based on the type of restrictions that were common and considered acceptable when the Second Amendment was ratified.
We can argue about particular categories: should all felons be excluded, or only violent felons? What constitues "mentally ill"? Does it include a person who was depressed and sought outpatient psychiatric treatment? I would say that's absurd. But I think most people would agree that someone who has been hospitalized against his or her will because a court concluded that they were a threat to themselves or others is probably a valid basis for a firearms disability--at least for a few years. If someone doesn't end up hospitalized again after some period of time (five years seems like an adequate interval), there's a pretty good chance that this was a passing problem.
I see from an article in today's Idaho Statesman (which I can't find on their website, but is substantially the same as this one) that Idaho is one of 28 states that do not share mental illness commitment information with the FBI for the national background check. The article explains that in some states, there are state privacy laws that prohibit it; in others, there are technical problems that make it impossible. (The state itself doesn't have the information.)
I can understand why Idaho might not have put sharing this information at the top of their priority list--but it isn't like Idaho doesn't keep the information or use it internally. For example, Idaho Code 18-3302 already provides that you may not obtain a concealed carry permit if:(f) Is currently suffering or has been adjudicated as follows, based on substantial evidence:
I am a little surprised that we don't share at least this information with the FBI for the national background check. I can't imagine that cost is an issue; we already have the data somewhere to run the background check for a carry permit, and in a state of 1.5 million people, I can't imagine that more than about 1500 people a year get dropped into one of these categories.
(i) Lacking mental capacity as defined in section 18-210, Idaho Code; or
(ii) Mentally ill as defined in section 66-317, Idaho Code; or
(iii) Gravely disabled as defined in section 66-317, Idaho Code; or
(iv) An incapacitated person as defined in section 15-5-101(a), Idaho Code
More On Mental Illness and Firearms Disability
I found this rather disturbing but not surprising news item about Russell Eugene Weston, Jr. In case you have forgotten him already:Russell Eugene Weston Jr. told a court-appointed psychiatrist that he stormed the U.S. Capitol last summer, killing two police officers, to prevent the United States from being annihilated by disease and legions of cannibals.
The disturbing item that I found was this:
"He described his belief that time was running out and that if he did not come to Washington, D.C., he would become infected with Black Heva," wrote Sally C. Johnson, the psychiatrist who examined Weston last fall. Weston called this imaginary ailment the "most deadliest disease known to mankind" and said it was spread by the rotting corpses of cannibals' victims, Johnson wrote.
Weston told Johnson he went to the Capitol to gain access to what he called "the ruby satellite," a device he said was kept in a Senate safe. That satellite, he insisted, was the key to putting a stop to cannibalism.
The former mental patient told another doctor that he fatally shot officers Jacob J. Chestnut and John M. Gibson on July 24 because they were cannibals who were keeping him from the satellite.(CBS) Russell Weston bragged he was the son of John F. Kennedy, reports CBS News Correspondent Jim Stewart. He spoke to satellite dishes because he thought they carried his voice to Washington. He threatened neighbors. He'd been arrested and one day he was finally packed off by the state of Montana to a mental institution.
Weston spent 53 days locked up in a mental hospital, and from all accounts, should not have been released.
But despite all that, on the day of the Capitol Hill shootings, records show Weston had a valid permit from his home state of Illinois to buy all the guns and ammunition he pleased.
The reason for that according to Illinois State Police Dir. Gene Marlin, is that Weston lied on this gun permit application last year when he circled "No" to the question of whether he had ever been a mental patient. And when Illinois went to check it out, says Marlin, Montana's privacy laws forbid it from telling other states that, in fact, Weston had been ordered into a mental institution for a 90-day evaluation in 1996.
"The mental health laws in Montana are very strict, and they do not share those types of commitments with law enforcement in Montana, or with ourselves, obviously. So any checks we ran - which we did in Montana - came out negative," he said.
It happens all the time, say lawmen. Committment to a mental institution means automatic denial of a gun permit. However, states rarely tell each other about such records.
More About Institutionalization vs. Homicide Rates
I mentioned yesterday a Texas Law Review paper by Bernard Harcourt about how adding mental hospital and prison incarceration rates together did a better job of predicting murder rates than other models--and that as the total of the two rates went up, there was a strong negative correlation to murder rates.
Today, I heard from Professor Harcourt, who pointed me to a paper in process here which uses state level data and a broader range of social variables--and finds that while there is variation from state to state, the same essential results pop out: as states increase the percentage of population who are locked up in either mental hospitals or prisons, the murder rate declines.
There are signs of elasticity on this. When the institutionalization rates drops to very low levels, murder rates don't continue upward at the same rate because nearly all the dangerous people are out on the street. When the institutionalization rates rise to very high levels, murder rates don't get any lower because those who are locked up increasingly include people who might be a bit eccentric, or mentally ill, but not dangerous to others.
Adventures in Photography: New York City
I lugged around the Pentax K10D while sightseeing in New York City--and it was a reminder of the tradeoffs that you make on cameras. There were many times during the day that I wished that I was carrying my HP Photosmart E427, because it slips into your pocket. The Pentax I carried in an old video camera bag, partly because it protected it from getting banged up, and partly because a criminal might have assumed that all I had inside was an analog video camera--which is probably not worth stealing, at this point.
The upside of the Pentax is that I was able to take pictures that the Photosmart simply could not have, because it doesn't have a zoom, and because it doesn't have the ability to change ASA settings. (At least, I haven't figured out how.) In low light settings, such as in the Metropolitan Museum of Art and the Chrysler Building lobby, this is a huge advantage--especially in those places where photography is allowed, but flash is not.
I do wish that there was a selector on the outside of the Pentax for changing the ASA setting; it is a bit clumsy to go through the menu to change the ASA setting. (There probably is a way to do this, but I haven't sat down with the several hundred page manual to figure it out.)
I did see another tourist carrying the Panasonic Lumix FZ50, which is a long zoom digital camera that I considered, until I found that the lens isn't removable (which I need for astrophotography). Unfortunately, while quite a bit more compact than the Pentax, it is not quite pocket sized, but still a very reasonable alternative to the Pentax.
Saul Cornell
Ed Killoran has an article here about Saul Cornell's presentation in support of gun control at a church in Ohio:Cornell's main premise of the Second Amendment allowing gun control was based on the phrase, “well-regulated.” The last question I asked was how he defined "well regulated" as used the Second Amendment. I had several sources indicating it meant something different 200 years ago (smooth running, like a clock) but that was nonsense to him. He emphasized REGULATION. He noticed my copy of Clayton Cramer’s book, Armed America, and promptly said, “Cramer’s never met a gun law he liked.”
Utterly false. I have long argued that laws that prohibit convicted felons and the mentally ill from having guns are both constitutional and probably provide some benefits to the society. This article, for example. And this one, where I chastise the Supreme Court for striking down the federal law that prohibits those convicted of felonies in foreign courts from possessing firearms. If Cornell is being accurately quoted, he is either insufficiently knowledgeable about my position, or he is lying.
UPDATE: Saul Cornell has contacted me, and now knows that this isn't an accurate statement of my position.
Deranged Democrats At It Again
And one with such a fine last name, too:LAS VEGAS - A man accused of threatening a Nevada Republican Party official with a rifle was arrested Tuesday in a vehicle in which police found swords, knives, a shotgun, shells and a flare gun, authorities said.
Did he think that he wouldn't be arrested for threatening violence?
Matthew Hunter Kramer, 31, did not resist officers who arrested him on a warrant issued after the April 3 confrontation at state Republican Party offices in Las Vegas. It wasn't clear why he was not arrested earlier.
Zachary Moyle, executive director of the state GOP, told The Associated Press on Tuesday that Kramer invited him to look at something in the trunk of his Mercedes before pulling out a rifle, pointing it at his face and warning that he would be back if President Bush vetoed an emergency war spending bill being considered by Congress.
Bush and Democratic leaders are locked in a dispute over the president's pledge to veto legislation if it sets a timetable on the
Iraq war.
Kramer also removed photos of Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney from the wall of the office and threatened to harm staff members, Moyle said. Kramer left his cell phone number with office staff before leaving, police said.
Democrats Say Iraq War Isn't About Al-Qaeda
Al-Qaeda doesn't agree:DUBAI (Reuters) - Al Qaeda chief Osama bin Laden is orchestrating militants' operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, a senior commander of Afghan Islamist group Taliban said in remarks broadcast on Wednesday.
Democrats who say that the war in Iraq is a distraction from the War on Terror might want to tell the Taliban to shut up.
Bin Laden has not made any video statements for many months raising speculation that he might have died.
"He is drawing plans in Iraq and Afghanistan ... Praise God he is alive," Mullah Dadullah told Al Jazeera television.
Bernard E. Harcourt's "From the Asylum to the Prison"
I've just finished reading this paper from Texas Law Review 84:1751-86 [2006]. I am not in a position to analyze his statistical work, but he makes an argument that I find quite persuasive, because of the book that I am currently writing about the deinstitutionalization of the mentally ill. Harcourt's primary claim is that social scientists need to look at both prisons and mental hospitals in understanding the incarceration revolution--that a great many of the failures to adequately predict crime rate changes go away if you look at both categories of incarceration--not just prisons.
A secondary claim is that if you combine national prison and mental hospital incarceration rates for the period 1928-2000, there is a very strong negative correlation to homicide rates: -0.78, and that this strong negative correlation survives when you factor in unemployment and demographic changes. This should not be any big surprise; about 7% to 16% of current prison inmates are mentally ill. A fair number of people that might, in 1950, been locked up in a mental hospital, now wander the streets until they commit some fairly serious crime. In a few cases that make headlines, they commit mass murder, and follow it up with suicide. The current levels of prison incarceration, while high by the standards of the 20th century, when examined in conjunction with mental hospital lockups, just barely reaching the levels common in the 1930s through the 1950s.
One substantial difference that Harcourt doesn't address--and which might influence the apparent causal connection on this--is that a surprisingly large percentage of pre-1960 mental hospital populations were syphilitic insane and elderly senile. Syphilitic insanity largely faded away with the introduction of penicillin after World War II, and the elderly senile, who contributed to that large mental hospitalization rate, transferred over to a variety of private nursing care facilities as a result of the Medicare program in the early 1960s.
Students for Concealed Carry on Campus
Yes, that's the name of this organization. They appear to have existed well before this tragedy at Virginia Tech. As the Frequently Asked Questions section explains:Students in Universities all over America are licensed to carry concealed weapons.
But when we step foot on our campuses we must be unarmed.
Too many have been murdered, raped, robbed and beaten on our campuses!
Enough is enough!
Allow the CCW holders on our campuses to protect ourselves and those around us!
Who Taught Cho To Hate?
I mentioned yesterday that I thought that Cho Seung-Hui would have picked whatever ideology gave him a reason to hate, and I thought blaming the dominance of hatred for Christianity, capitalism, and wealth was missing the core problem: Cho Seung-Hui's insanity. Nonetheless, I am impressed how much racial hatred and violence one of Cho Seung-Hui's professors has spewed as poetry. VDARE.COM points to a number of examples of Nikki Giovanni's production of racial hate focused poetry and enthusiasm for hip-hop's worst elements.
I doubt that this caused Cho Seung-Hui's decision--but if he had attended a fundamentalist Christian college, and had murdered 32 gay men, you can be sure that liberals would be running the engines of the mass media full-time demanding that something be done to suppress anti-homosexual teaching.
Reading The Supreme Court's Decision on Partial Birth Abortion Ban
Last week, Professor Orin Kerr described the Supreme Court's 5-4 upholding of Nebraska's partial birth abortion ban as using "the narrowest ground to uphold the ban...." When I read the decision, what struck me about Justice Kennedy's opinion was how tremendously detailed it was in describing the procedure that was being prohibited--far more detail than really seems necessary for a purely legal question. It is, however, exactly what you would write if you really wanted to impress upon the arm-waving theorists the monstrousness of this:A doctor must first dilate the cervix at least to the extent needed to insert surgical instruments into the uterus and to maneuver them to evacuate the fetus.... The steps taken to cause dilation differ by physician and gestational age of the fetus. .... A doctor often begins the dilation process by inserting osmotic dilators,such as laminaria (sticks of seaweed), into the cervix. The dilators can be used in combination with drugs,such as misoprostol, that increase dilation. The resulting amount of dilation is not uniform, and a doctor does not know in advance how an individual patient will respond. In general the longer dilators remain in the cervix,the more it will dilate. Yet the length of time doctors employ osmotic dilators varies. Some may keep dilators in the cervix for two days, while others use dilators for a day or less. ...
If this starts to make you think of the brainsucking sequence in the terrible movie version of Starship Troopers, then I think Justice Kennedy achieved his goal. Doesn't it make you proud to be an American?
After sufficient dilation the surgical operation can commence. The woman is placed under general anesthesia or conscious sedation. The doctor,often guided by ultrasound, inserts grasping forceps through the woman’s cervix and into the uterus to grab the fetus. The doctor grips a fetal part with the forceps and pulls it back
through the cervix and vagina, continuing to pull even after meeting resistance from the cervix. The friction causes the fetus to tear apart. For example, a leg might be ripped off the fetus as it is pulled through the cervix and out of the woman. The process of evacuating the fetus piece by piece continues until it has been completely removed. A doctor may make 10 to 15 passes with the forceps to evacuate the fetus in its entirety,though sometimes removal is completed with fewer passes. Once the fetus has been evacuated,the placenta and any remaining fetal material are suctioned or scraped out of the uterus.
The doctor examines the different parts to ensure the entire fetal body has been removed.... Some doctors,especially later in the second trimester, may kill the fetus a day or two before performing the surgical evacuation. They inject digoxin or potassium chloride into the fetus, the umbilical cord, or the amniotic fluid. Fetal demise may cause contractions and make greater dilation possible. Once dead, moreover, the fetus’ body will soften, and its removal will be easier. Other
doctors refrain from injecting chemical agents,believing it adds risk with little or no medical benefit. ...
...
Intact D&E, like regular D&E, begins with dilation of the cervix. Sufficient dilation is essential for the procedure. To achieve intact extraction some doctors thus may attempt to dilate the cervix to a greater degree. This approach has been called “serial” dilation. ... Doctors who attempt at the outset to perform intact D&E may dilate for two full days or use up to 25 osmotic dilators. ... In an intact D&E procedure the doctor extracts the fetus in a way conducive to pulling out its entire body, instead of ripping it apart. One doctor, for example, testified:
“If I know I have good dilation and I reach in and the fetus starts to come out and I think I can accomplish it,the abortion with an intact delivery, then I use my forceps a little bit differently. I don’t close them quite so much, and I just gently draw the tissue out attempting to have an intact delivery, if possible.”
...
Rotating the fetus as it is being pulled decreases the odds of dismemberment. ... A doctor also “may use forceps to grasp a fetal part, pull it down, and re-grasp the fetus at a higher level—sometimes using both his hand and a forceps—to exert traction to retrieve the fetus intact until the head is
lodged in the [cervix]. ... Intact D&E gained public notoriety when, in 1992, Dr. Martin Haskell gave a presentation describing his method of performing the operation. Dilation and Extraction 110 – 111. In the usual intact D&E the fetus’ head lodges in the cervix, and dilation is insufficient to allow it to pass. ... Haskell explained the next step as follows:“‘At this point,the right-handed surgeon slides the fingers of the left [hand ] along the back of the fetus and “hooks” the shoulders of the fetus with the index and ring fingers (palm down).
“‘While maintaining this tension, lifting the cervix and applying traction to the shoulders with the fingers of the left hand, the surgeon takes a pair of blunt curved Metzenbaum scissors in the right hand. He carefully advances the tip, curved down,along the spine and under his middle finger until he feels it contact the base of the skull under the tip of his middle finger.
“‘[T]he surgeon then forces the scissors into the base of the skull or into the foramen magnum. Having safely entered the skull, he spreads the scissors to
enlarge the opening.
“‘The surgeon removes the scissors and introduces a suction catheter into this hole and evacuates the skull contents. With the catheter still in place, he applies
traction to the fetus, removing it completely from the patient.’” H.R. Rep. No. 108–58, p.3 (2003).
Imagine If Jerry Falwell Had Said Something Like This...
They would have been screeching night and day about it--even worse than Don Imus's offensive remarks. These are far worse--but this isn't a national news story--because it was said by a Muslim, and therefore liberals must genuflect to show their support for diversity:A community debate over religious freedom surfaced in Western Pennsylvania last week when Dutch feminist author Ayaan Hirsi Ali, a Somali refugee who has lived under the threat of death for denouncing her Muslim upbringing, made an appearance at the University of Pittsburgh at Johnstown.
Instapundit turned it around nicely:
Islamic leaders tried to block the lecture, which was sponsored through an endowment from the Frank J. and Sylvia T. Pasquerilla Lecture Series. They argued that Hirsi Ali's attacks against the Muslim faith in her book, "Infidel," and movie, "Submission," are "poisonous and unjustified" and create dissension in their community.
Although university officials listened to Islamic leaders' concerns, the lecture planned last year took place Tuesday evening under tight security, with no incidents.
Imam Fouad ElBayly, president of the Johnstown Islamic Center, was among those who objected to Hirsi Ali's appearance.
"She has been identified as one who has defamed the faith. If you come into the faith, you must abide by the laws, and when you decide to defame it deliberately, the sentence is death," said ElBayly, who came to the U.S. from Egypt in 1976.When you come into the United States you must abide by the laws and customs that prevail here. You're supposed to leave this kind of medieval idiocy behind. If you keep it up, don't be surprised if you get thought of as some sort of medieval idiot.
ElBayly does not seem to have crossed the line into directly saying that someone should kill Hirsi Ali, so I guess that he hasn't actually broken any laws--but compared to what Don Imus said, this is far worse. And you won't hear a word about it from the usual screeching heads on television.
There Are Things Worse Than Gun Accidents
The gun control movement works very, very hard to give you the impression that lots of kids get killed in gun accidents. It isn't true. Every such accident is a tragedy, and one that doesn't need to happen.
You do have your gun properly secured, right? I hope so--not just to protect your child, or your child's friend, but to make sure a burglar doesn't use it on you.
But stories like this are a reminder that there are situations worse than a gun accident. Much worse:Tied up and left to die in a burning apartment, a Columbia student used the blaze set by her sadistic rapist to free herself, Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly said yesterday.
Bitter over at The Bitch Girls linked to this story after explaining that this is why she has a pistol on her nightstand.
"It appears she was able to escape as a result of the fire," Kelly said. "She was tied, and the flame was used by her to break the bond."
The 23-year-old woman, identified by sources as a student at the Columbia Graduate School of Journalism, endured 19 hours of rape and torture at the hands of a sick creep in her Hamilton Heights apartment Friday night.
In what Kelly called a "particularly vicious" assault, the fiend tied his victim to a bed, cut her, raped her, burned her with scalding water and chemicals - and then set the woman's futon on fire to cover up the crime, police said.
He was so brutal he slit her eyelids, Kelly said.
The student used the flames to free herself and fled her fifth-floor apartment with her hands still bound to each other to get help from a neighbor, officials said.
The Sky Is About to Fall
Hell is about to freeze over. Watch out for those flying pigs! I just saw Senator Schumer (D-NY) on The O'Reilly Factor admit that the Second Amendment protects an individual right. He went on to argue that the right isn't unlimited, just like the First Amendment "doesn't protect pornography." He even acknowledged that there is a right to defend yourself, and that can even include using a gun to do so.
Now, I don't believe for a second that Schumer's definition of "reasonable regulation" of guns matches mine, but this is real progress. Either that, or he has already figured out that the Supreme Court is going to uphold Parker v. D.C. (D.C.App. 2007), and is figuring out how to hamstring that right so badly that it is meaningless.
UPDATE: Professor Volokh points out that this isn't the first time that Schumer has acknowledged that the Second Amendment protects an individual right--although subject to regulation that most people would consider unreasonable.
Book Tour: Adventures in Architecture
New York City has some of the most amazing architecture--at least, the parts that aren't falling down, and covered in usually unartistic graffiti. Here are some examples that caught my eye as especially stunning or interesting.
This is the Chrysler building, completed in 1930:
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The rather gargoyle like eagles (or at least some sort of raptor) on the Chrysler Building:
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The lobby of the Chrysler Building is astonishing.
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On the ceiling of the lobby is this Socialist Realism art:
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Here's some pictures of the odd little critters on top of Grand Central Terminal, on 42nd Street.
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I'm not sure exactly where I was, but it was somewhere in this area that I saw this building with this rather interesting pattern.
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We found this amazingly medieval door somewhere east of Central Park:
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Book Tour: Demographic Surprises
We booked a hotel in Flushing, largely because hotels on Manhattan were very expensive, the reasonably priced hotels that were closest to Manhattan on Long Island in Queens couldn't guarantee us a non-smoking room, and I wanted a place that was a short walk to a subway station. Flushing was also right next to LaGuardia Airport, which made for a short drive in the morning when we were ready to return home.
The big surprise in Flushing was that there seemed to be almost nothing but Asians living there. Almost every sign was in Chinese and English--except for a few that were in Korean. The hotel itself, the Best Western Queens Court, was very well kept--better than some rather fancier hotels that I have stayed in lately. The help was very friendly.
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Another surprise was when we went out to Long Island for dinner. I was always under the impression from the manner in which intellectuals denigrated Long Island (once you get east of Queens and Flushing) as a bunch of middle class white yahoos. We were surprised to find that at least where we ended up was quite racially diverse. While everyone seemed quite middle class in their values, it was black, Hispanic, and white--not at all what I expected.
My Book Tour To New York City: Somewhat Disappointed at Turnout
I'll break this up into several different postings, so that it doesn't get too long. (Besides, I have dinner in the microwave tonight--my wife is teaching a class--and I have some C compiling for work, so little chunks only.)
On the good side, the interview on the Joey Reynolds show went very well. He definitely gave me a chance to talk--very polite guy. Since something like 82 stations carry his show, this should sell a bunch of books.
The presentation Friday night at Ramapo College was a lot more lightly attended than I had hoped. The topic was both academic fraud and the subject of my book, so I thought that at least one or two faculty in the history of political science department might show up. Other than Professor Murray Sabrin, who organized this, not a single faculty member showed. A couple of students (I think), but the rest of the 20 or so people there were associated with the New Jersey Coalition for Self-Defense. They have a couple of hundred members statewide, so getting this many almost on the border of New York was pretty good. They worked quite hard to make this event happen, and I really enjoyed the time that I spent with Robert Kreisler and some of the other members while we were there.
Unfortunately, NJCSD's efforts to get the Association of New Jersey Rifle and Pistol Clubs to publicize the event (and perhaps get .1% of their 30,000 members to show up) didn't fly. My emails to officers of the New York State Rifle and Pistol Association were either ignored or NYRPA members weren't much interested in what I had to say. Look, I know that I'm not Charlton Heston, but I'm not exactly chopped liver, either. To have this few people show up for what even my harshest critic (my wife) says was a really good speech was a bit disheartening.
There are days that I wonder if the reason that gun owners have been losing for so long is that most really don't care that much.
There's Enough Blame To Go Around, But This May Be Going Too Far
American Daily suggests that the fierce anti-Americanism that dominates many of our schools may be to blame for the Virginia Tech massacre:Why did the Virginia Tech shooter write about his being pissed off at rich kids? Who often uses the phrase “evil rich”? Why did the Virginia Tech think that America was a diseased society? Ever listen to Howard Zinn and or Noam Chomsky? Did this young man come to college as the typical know-little-about-the-world freshman, and within three and a half years, become a menace to society because he was taught that society was no damn good?
Well, if Cho Seung-Hui had been a rational person, I might be more inclined to buy this argument. But he was mentally ill. Paranoid schizophrenics get fixated on all sorts of things: very commonly, religion or politics. One of the mentally ill women that wandered the streets where I lived in Los Angeles--and actually received her fifteen minutes of fame on one of the national news shows in the late 1980s--was fixated on religion. You could read her distinctive handwriting on any flat surface along Wilshire Blvd. It was based on Christianity, but it made no sense to me.
I've talked to other paranoid schizophrenics who fixated on politics. They would take some idea that most people regard as a little nuts (Trilateral Conspiracy, black helicopters, whatever) and make that the center focus of their thoughts and concerns. Because schizophrenia causes significant distortions of the senses, it is very easy to imagine the nerve impulses that they feel are bugs implanted in their brains, under their skin, and similarly worrisome problems. (If you watched A Beautiful Mind, you can see where this led John Nash.)
My guess is that Cho Seung-Hui, had he been in an environment where Christianity was dominant, would have constructed an ideology based on destroying demons. If he had been working on a degree in political science, he might have left us a tape talking about the evils of Republicans cooking and eating poor people. As it was, he appears to have taken the dominant crackpot ideologies of the academy--the evils of Christianity and wealth--and turned that into a basis for his mass murder spree.
Talking to Reporters
I just got off the phone with a reporter for one of the Texas newspapers who was interested in knowing more about the copycat problem of mass murder. They are suddenly having a burst of murder/suicides after Cho's actions, and he found me because of my Journal of Mass Media Ethics paper. I talked about this, but I also emphasized that this is a larger problem--the problem of the deinstitutionalization of the mentally ill, who have fallen through the cracks of the current system. Most are only a threat to themselves, but a small fraction become a serious problem to others, and a few, if they use a gun, become headlines--as happened in Virginia last Monday. If they don't use a gun, and only kill one or two people are only local news.
Mental Illness and Mass Murder
I'm glad that a few other people are prepared to say it. From today's Wall Street Journal:I was in graduate school, studying clinical psychology when they began shutting down the asylums. The place was California, the time was the early 1970s, and "they" were an unprecedented confederation of progressives, libertarians and fiscal conservatives.
This Texas Law Review paper by Bernard Harcourt examines institutionalization--as measured by both prison and mental hospital inmates. He makes the shocking discovery that if you combine both measures and plot them against U.S. murder rates for the period 1928-2000, there is an almost perfect negative correlation: as institutionalization (in either prison or mental hospitals) goes up, murder rates go down, and vice versa.
From the left marched battalions of self-styled mental health "liberation activists" steeped in the writings of Scottish psychiatrist R.D. Laing. Though he denied being opposed to his own profession, Laing's notion that madness could be a reasonable reaction to an unjust society, or even a vehicle for spiritual transformation, helped fuel the anti-psychiatry movement of the post Love-In era. The most radical of Laingians carried revisionism one step further: Not only wasn't psychosis a bad thing, it was evidence of a superior level of consciousness.
The libertarians were fueled by Thomas Szasz, an iconoclastic psychiatrist who was, and remains, an outspoken foe of virtually every aspect of his chosen specialty. Hungarian-born in 1920, and witness to vicious state exploitation of medical practice by the Nazis and the communists, Dr. Szasz pushed an absolutist dogma of individual choice, finding ready converts among members of the Do-Your-Own-Thing generation. Though his early essays offered much-needed critiques of the Orwellian nightmares that can result when autocracy corrupts health care, Dr. Szasz devolved into something of a psychiatric Flat-Earther, insisting in the face of mounting contrary evidence that mental illness simply does not exist. Currently, he serves on a commission, cofounded with the Church of Scientology, that purports to investigate human rights violations perpetrated by mental health professionals.
Accepting the arguments of the liberationists and the libertarians at face value led to the assertion that no matter how bizarre, disabling or life-threatening a person's hallucinations and delusions, involuntary treatment was never called for. And to the assertion that violation of that premise created yet another class of political prisoners.
While moderate members of the anti-asylum movement were willing to concede that psychosis might pose difficulties for a few individuals, they insisted that society had no more right to force psychoactive drugs upon mental patients than it did to hold down diabetics for insulin injections. If treatment was to be offered, it needed to be consensually contracted between caregivers and care-recipients on an outpatient basis. That fit perfectly with the sensibilities of conservative scrooges searching for ways to cut the state budget, and all too happy to dismantle a massive state hospital system denigrated as inefficient at best and inhumane at worst. The replacement chosen was an untested, less costly treatment model: the community mental center.
How nice that everyone agreed.
Everyone, that was, except for many families of hospitalized, hopelessly-decompensated, often self-destructive and occasionally violent psychotics. They'd lived with the reality of severe mental illness and wondered what "freedom" would bring. But there weren't enough of these families to matter.
...
By the time I received my doctorate in 1974, the doors to many of the locked wards had been flung open and the much vaunted community mental health centers were being built--predominately in low-rent neighborhoods. A few years later, government funding for these allegedly humane treatment outposts had been cut, as yet more fiscal belt-tightening was inspired by findings that they didn't work.
Because crazy people rarely showed up for treatment voluntarily, and when they did, the treatment milieu consisted of queuing up interminably at Thorazine Kiosks.
And now we had a Homeless Problem.
And everyone was astonished.
Estimates vary but there's no doubt that a significant percentage of people living on heating vents, pushing their belongings in shopping carts, squatting in city parks and immersed in the squalor of tent cities suffer from severe mental disease. And their psychosis is often exacerbated by drug and alcohol abuse--what is, essentially, a regimen of self-medication that should make a Szaszian proud.
Many of these unfortunates end up as victims of violent crimes. A few become victimizers and when they do, watch out. For though it is true that schizophrenics are responsible for a proportionally lower rate of violent offenses than the general population (because many forms of the disease engender passivity and physical inactivity), when crazy people do act out the results are often horrific: bloody spree killings ignited by paranoid thinking and the angry urgings of internal voices.
Which brings us to outrages such as the Virginia Tech massacre.
Diagnosis from afar is the purview of talk-shows hosts and other charlatans, and I will not attempt to detail the psyche of the Virginia Tech slaughterer. But I will hazard that much of what has been reported about his pre-massacre behavior--prolonged periods of asocial mutism and withdrawal, irrational anger and hatred, bizarre writing and speech--is not at odds with the picture of a fulminating, serious mental disease. And his age falls squarely within the most common period when psychosis blossoms.
No one who knew him seems surprised by what he did. On the contrary, dorm chatter characterized him explicitly as a future school-shooter. One of his professors, the poet Nikki Giovanni, saw him as a disruptive bully and kicked him out of her class. Other teachers viewed him as disturbed and referred him for the ubiquitous "counseling"--an outcome that is ambiguous to the point of meaninglessness and akin to "treatment" for a patient with metastasized cancer.
But even that minimal care wasn't given. The shooter didn't want it and no one tried to force him to get it. While it's been reported that he was involuntarily committed to a "Behavioral Health Center" in December 2005, those reports also say he was released the very next morning. Even if the will to segregate an obvious menace had been in place, the legal mechanisms to provide even temporary "warehousing" were absent. The rest is terrible history.
There's a lot of evidence that many of those who are currently locked up in prisons are mentally ill. It would appear that the great experiment of the 1960s--deinstitutionalization--simply transferred violent mentally ill people from mental hospitals to prisons, after a few decades of suffering, both by those mental patients, and by the society as a whole.
Can I Find an Ambulance-Chaser to File a Fault Advertising Claim?
This should be worth at least several million dollars. I noticed this advertising that United Airlines had it up in the Denver International Airport terminal:
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One would conclude that their new regional jets are actually an evolved form of butterfly, or perhaps as beautiful as butterflies--or maybe as low impact on the environment as a butterfly?
Or most likely, some advertising creative guy could not figure out a coherent message that would make people happy, and settled for this.
Amusing Examination of Nasty Capitalists Laying People Off
Jim Geraghty observes:As you’ll recall from yesterday, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton is upset with Circuit City for laying off 3,400 workers, wagging her finger to management in a letter that declared, “these decisions are inconsistent with the fundamental compact between your company and its employees. This is the wrong way to deal with the economic pressures of the day — and the wrong way to treat workers who’ve given their all to your company.”
Then he marshals the evidence that suggests that the layoff of 75 workers at Simon & Schuster were caused by the $8 million advance that they gave an author named...Hillary Clinton several years that seems unlikely to ever be covered by royalties.
Hillary doesn’t mention it in the letter, but one presumes she believes that the company has spent too much on other areas.
Was that just a bad call on the expected sales of the book? Or a disguised personal gift from a publishing company to a politician?
Another Tragedy of Our Mental Health System, But This Won't Get As Much Press
First, because there was only person killed, and second, because it didn't involve a gun. From the April 19, 2007 Santa Rosa (Cal.) Press-Democrat:The family of a man who allegedly stabbed his mother to death at her Rohnert Park home wrestled Wednesday with grief and their anger at a mental health system that they say failed everyone involved.
This is a tragedy. Like a lot of other mental illness tragedies that I have talked about on this blog in the last several years, those who become violent are a small minority of the mentally ill (most of whom are a bigger threat to themselves than to others). But the unpredictability of a violent mentally ill person--and that they may attack people who have no idea that they are seen as targets--creates enormous fear in the general population.
"A broken heart and a broken system, that's what I'm feeling today," Dave Cooper said.
Cooper's mother-in-law, Jeanne Elaine Hoyt, 61, was stabbed multiple times with a sword and died Tuesday night, authorities said.
Ezra Timothy Hoyt, 33, a paranoid schizophrenic, was holding a sword when he was arrested at gunpoint in front of his mother's house as she was being treated inside, police said.
Jeanne Hoyt was rushed to Santa Rosa Memorial Hospital, where she was pronounced dead at 6:44 p.m., Rohnert Park Police Lt. Jeff Taylor said.
Her son, who Cooper said was living in a group home in Santa Rosa, is being held without bail at the Sonoma County Jail, facing a charge of murder.
He was holding what is believed to be the murder weapon when police arrived at his mother's home in the Rancho Grande mobile home park on Snyder Lane. Police and fire crews were dispatched to the home at 6:09 p.m. in response to a "frantic 911 call," Taylor said.
He did not say who called 911.
The sword was a rapier, "long, slender, sharply pointed," and Hoyt dropped it at an officer's command, Taylor said.
A distraught Cooper suggested that the family's efforts to get Ezra Hoyt timely and proper help were frustrated by the mental health system.
"It's the way the social services system works -- or doesn't work," he said. "All we're told, of course, is that nothing can be done until until he becomes a threat to himself or others."
Cooper said family members had worried that Hoyt wasn't taking medication for the illness with which he'd been diagnosed about five years ago.
"He's over 18, he can't be forced to stay on his medications until something happens," Cooper said. "Well, something has happened."
Unlike what happened at Virginia Tech last Monday, no gun control law would have prevented this tragedy. But like Virginia Tech, a mental illness commitment law that wasn't quite so far out on the civil libertarian extreme might well have prevented this tragedy.
Back From New York City
I'm drained--it may be tomorrow before I post anything. I had hundreds of emails waiting for me, and most of them, amazingly enough, weren't spam.